Why The Way We See The Housing Market is Wrong - Part 1
Saturday, July 4th, 2009There is no other topic more guaranteed to get people talking in this country than what is happening to house prices; ok maybe the weather.
When the market moves in the right direction we feel good and we feel more wealthy. And when prices fall like they have done over the last year or so we worry a lot about what the consequences might be and we feel harder up.
It’s in the DNA of the nation. We are a nation of home owners and where we live and what we do with our houses tells others a lot about who we are. We add decking to our gardens, we carry out loft extensions, we knock down walls, build conservatories, our home is an integral part of the lifestyles we lead. It matters to us.
On the one hand just take a look at the TV schedule in an average week. Even now with all the turmoil in the economy there are programmes on every day about people buying and selling houses or developing properties or doing properties up …. if there is an angle on the housing market then there is a programme being made about it.
And on the other hand in the broader press we have been hit with so many stories over the last year about about how much money we are losing on our houses.
Why is this?
Because we read it! We lap it up!
And what do you think is the effect of these headlines on the average man in the street, with a house and a mortgage?
Well it makes us worried doesn’t it? Of course it does. That’s because it is a natural reaction to hearing bad news. But more than that, we start to hesitate about what we should do with our homes. Those of us that want to move put plans on hold, deciding to see what happens to prices before committing to a move.
And this becomes a self fulfilling prophecy and this is where we have been in the last 12 months or so. We are told that house prices are going to fall, so fewer of us are in the market for a new house – i.e. demand falls and guess what – prices fall to compensate.
Now clearly there have been some real problems in the market, no-one can deny that. We have seen for example a massive reduction in availability of finance due to the credit crunch.
But even with this the doom and gloom that is spread just adds to our woes. We develop a “herd mentality”. We feel safe if we act as a group – it is an instinct that goes back as long as we have been walking the face of this earth. If everyone else is doing something then it must be the right thing to do.
Can you see how much of what we do is all about psychology? Our mind drives our actions and if everyone feels bad about the market we feel bad about it as well.
Sometimes the right thing to do is to ignore the widely held belief, to take some control back and to act in your own best interests based upon your own individual circumstances.
What is the market after all?
It is just a collection of individuals buying and selling. So if you want to sell your home and you do manage to find a buyer who will offer you the price you want would you still sit tight and refuse to act just because that was the perceived right thing to do?
Of course not.
That’s all for now but check back here soon for more about why the way we see the housing market is all wrong.